another great poll to add to the pile. Every day I get less and less worried about trump.
Class_of_22 on
Good!
Local-Ad-5170 on
I really wish we’d stop putting so much Emphasis on polling whether it’s good or bad. I’m much more interested in statewide office polling And individual house races.
plz-let-me-in on
> Harris is winning 49 percent support in the poll, compared to 44 percent for Trump, in the race for the Keystone State’s 19 electoral votes.
Pennsylvania is basically a must-win state for Harris. If she loses Pennsylvania, she’ll basically need to win every other swing state in order to win the presidency. It is probably *the* most important state in the presidential election.
As a citizen of the commonwealth,!let me say that she needs a bigger lead.
reck1265 on
NYT getting wrecked.
Chytectonas on
Im amazed that there are people out there for whom something happened in last month that made Trump less attractive to them. Were they blind until September and miraculously regained vision? Had they been under rocks and decided to crawl out and take a look? Like what could possibly have caused this poll swing that didn’t exist 1, 7, 12, 24, 48, 96 months ago?
digbick-j on
Winning the blue wall states including PA + 1 single additional electoral vote from Nebraska will be 270, enough for Harris to become the first woman president
TrooperJohn on
Same outfit that showed her up 7 in Wisconsin.
Any love is good loving, and I’ll take what I can get. But realistically, how reliable is this source?
crudedrawer on
it’s always a company I’ve never heard of.
bickering_fool on
On her current trajectory…she’s going to smash it. However with this time line…..
citizenjones on
Sweet. Let’s have a win by 10 points.
mster425 on
I’m say this with so much love, as someone who has been canvassing the past 4 weekends in a liberal part of PA- I don’t think she’s up by 5. It’s going to be a turn out election, and a close one. But we are optimistic!
Sure_Quality5354 on
Momentum continues to build in her favor, this is extremely promising. If trends continue, we will never have to worry about a trump presidency again
Caerris1 on
A few things I think are factoring into this. 1) People tuning into politics and seeing that Trump is somehow worse now. 2) Kamala was not nearly as well known as Biden was, so now undecideds got introduced to her basically at the debate. 3) the Democratic ground game and spending game is way outperforming the GOP.
Vadermaulkylo on
The polls have been a fuckin rollercoaster.
therealdebbith on
Who is answering these polls?
Plastic-Kangaroo1234 on
I keep seeing different shit. It’s impossible to really know until Election Day, I guess.
PatSajaksDick on
Man if she gets PA and WI and all the other givens, she’s good right?
PatSajaksDick on
Man if she gets PA and WI and all the other givens, she’s good right?
DuckmanDrake69 on
Vote and donate. Let’s beat the goose stepping motherfuckers
Thyker on
As someone who lives in central Pennsylvania, I am hoping this is true. Lots of Trump signs everywhere.
SpookyWah on
I hear things like this while every Harris ad tells me she’s being out spent by Trump and behind in every state. I know that’s just fundraising talk but it’s driving me crazy.
Dariawasright on
Don’t believe it. Just vote Blue and convince everyone they should too!
ZakDadger on
I am seeing the same amount of signs
However, the Harris signs are one per house
The Trump signs are the size of garage doors and they cover the front yard
I’m going to be canvassing for Harris in WI and PA between now and Election Day, I live in IL and won’t take any vote for granted.
Also tho … I don’t want to get too “hopey” here, but people keep saying “oh it was looking good for Clinton at the end of Sept. toooo!”
Sure, but I don’t recall Clinton having rallies like this. I don’t recall shop owners breaking out into tears at the sight of her and wanting a hug. People weren’t doing TikTok dances and making homemade signs and shirts for Hillary. She didn’t even have a net favorable rating!
I recall a contingent of educated women who felt it was time for a woman to be President, and that Clinton would work, but I don’t think she was their first choice, either.
I think the fmr. Sec of State and Senator is incredibly accomplished and I admire her for everything that she has done, she was my “first” First Lady and would’ve made a really exceptional President.
But was anyone this hyped about it? Now, with Harris it feels different. Maybe I’m wrong, but I’m going to do everything in my power to make it happen.
Sunflier on
Should be like 85%
rumrunner9652 on
I’m in Florida and am voting blue, blue, blue all the way, but this state is too red for me to hold a lot of hope. I cannot wait to receive my ballot.
avanbeek on
I wouldn’t feel comfortable if Harris had a 15 point lead. I won’t feel at ease until Harris is inaugurated and Trump is incarcerated.
illjustputthisthere on
More. We need more.
Rmlady12152 on
Crazy orange cult.
alwaysmyfault on
She wins PA, MI, WI, and it’s all over.
Fuck you Trump. Rot in Hell.
LovinLifeForever on
Great! Let’s make it 8 to 10 points more in the next 40 days.
frabjousdae on
PA mail in voters- make sure to sign and date your outer envelope!!
During the primaries about 8,000 mail-ins were “disqualified because of issues such as missing signatures and wrong dates on outer envelopes.”
1. Harris has pulled so many electors, GA doesn’t matter
2. Harris has pulled so many electors, elections are over and I’m watching Parks and Rec reruns.
UnfortunateSandwich on
This isn’t enough. I want a win so resounding that some of the fox news hosts cry on air. I need this. I’m sorry
Leading_Grocery7342 on
How is 49 within a 4 point margin of error of 44?
beautifulanddoomed on
wow, not newsweek. I feel like these headlines are always just newsweek
Glad-Midnight-1022 on
Remember, polls don’t vote. Get out there
I think it will be a disaster but I hope I’m wrong
JRHermle on
Believe nothing.
Vote like it’s EVERYTHING!
flyeaglesfly777 on
Nudge your young friends in Pennsylvania to vote.
Don’t discuss politics, just ask them if they will vote. If so, how? Ask them if they know the deadlines for mail-in voting if they can’t vote in person
45 Comments
another great poll to add to the pile. Every day I get less and less worried about trump.
Good!
I really wish we’d stop putting so much Emphasis on polling whether it’s good or bad. I’m much more interested in statewide office polling And individual house races.
> Harris is winning 49 percent support in the poll, compared to 44 percent for Trump, in the race for the Keystone State’s 19 electoral votes.
Pennsylvania is basically a must-win state for Harris. If she loses Pennsylvania, she’ll basically need to win every other swing state in order to win the presidency. It is probably *the* most important state in the presidential election.
Give Harris Pennsylvania in [538’s “what-if” tool](https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/trump-harris-2024-election-map/), and she has an 88% chance of winning the election (up from the current 58%). Give Trump Pennsylvania, and her chances of winning drop down to 18%.
As a citizen of the commonwealth,!let me say that she needs a bigger lead.
NYT getting wrecked.
Im amazed that there are people out there for whom something happened in last month that made Trump less attractive to them. Were they blind until September and miraculously regained vision? Had they been under rocks and decided to crawl out and take a look? Like what could possibly have caused this poll swing that didn’t exist 1, 7, 12, 24, 48, 96 months ago?
Winning the blue wall states including PA + 1 single additional electoral vote from Nebraska will be 270, enough for Harris to become the first woman president
Same outfit that showed her up 7 in Wisconsin.
Any love is good loving, and I’ll take what I can get. But realistically, how reliable is this source?
it’s always a company I’ve never heard of.
On her current trajectory…she’s going to smash it. However with this time line…..
Sweet. Let’s have a win by 10 points.
I’m say this with so much love, as someone who has been canvassing the past 4 weekends in a liberal part of PA- I don’t think she’s up by 5. It’s going to be a turn out election, and a close one. But we are optimistic!
Momentum continues to build in her favor, this is extremely promising. If trends continue, we will never have to worry about a trump presidency again
A few things I think are factoring into this. 1) People tuning into politics and seeing that Trump is somehow worse now. 2) Kamala was not nearly as well known as Biden was, so now undecideds got introduced to her basically at the debate. 3) the Democratic ground game and spending game is way outperforming the GOP.
The polls have been a fuckin rollercoaster.
Who is answering these polls?
I keep seeing different shit. It’s impossible to really know until Election Day, I guess.
Man if she gets PA and WI and all the other givens, she’s good right?
Man if she gets PA and WI and all the other givens, she’s good right?
Vote and donate. Let’s beat the goose stepping motherfuckers
As someone who lives in central Pennsylvania, I am hoping this is true. Lots of Trump signs everywhere.
I hear things like this while every Harris ad tells me she’s being out spent by Trump and behind in every state. I know that’s just fundraising talk but it’s driving me crazy.
Don’t believe it. Just vote Blue and convince everyone they should too!
I am seeing the same amount of signs
However, the Harris signs are one per house
The Trump signs are the size of garage doors and they cover the front yard
Have yet to see a house with only one Trump sign
These people are so fucking weird
Don’t listen to polls fucking vote.
whats the margin of error?
Every poll I see says something different.
https://newsroom.haas.berkeley.edu/research/polling-101-how-accurate-are-election-polls/
Polls are fake, only the votes count.
I’m going to be canvassing for Harris in WI and PA between now and Election Day, I live in IL and won’t take any vote for granted.
Also tho … I don’t want to get too “hopey” here, but people keep saying “oh it was looking good for Clinton at the end of Sept. toooo!”
Sure, but I don’t recall Clinton having rallies like this. I don’t recall shop owners breaking out into tears at the sight of her and wanting a hug. People weren’t doing TikTok dances and making homemade signs and shirts for Hillary. She didn’t even have a net favorable rating!
I recall a contingent of educated women who felt it was time for a woman to be President, and that Clinton would work, but I don’t think she was their first choice, either.
I think the fmr. Sec of State and Senator is incredibly accomplished and I admire her for everything that she has done, she was my “first” First Lady and would’ve made a really exceptional President.
But was anyone this hyped about it? Now, with Harris it feels different. Maybe I’m wrong, but I’m going to do everything in my power to make it happen.
Should be like 85%
I’m in Florida and am voting blue, blue, blue all the way, but this state is too red for me to hold a lot of hope. I cannot wait to receive my ballot.
I wouldn’t feel comfortable if Harris had a 15 point lead. I won’t feel at ease until Harris is inaugurated and Trump is incarcerated.
More. We need more.
Crazy orange cult.
She wins PA, MI, WI, and it’s all over.
Fuck you Trump. Rot in Hell.
Great! Let’s make it 8 to 10 points more in the next 40 days.
PA mail in voters- make sure to sign and date your outer envelope!!
During the primaries about 8,000 mail-ins were “disqualified because of issues such as missing signatures and wrong dates on outer envelopes.”
https://www.reuters.com/legal/pennsylvania-court-rules-against-allowing-misdated-mail-in-votes-2024-09-14/
I want two things to happen election night:
1. Harris has pulled so many electors, GA doesn’t matter
2. Harris has pulled so many electors, elections are over and I’m watching Parks and Rec reruns.
This isn’t enough. I want a win so resounding that some of the fox news hosts cry on air. I need this. I’m sorry
How is 49 within a 4 point margin of error of 44?
wow, not newsweek. I feel like these headlines are always just newsweek
Remember, polls don’t vote. Get out there
I think it will be a disaster but I hope I’m wrong
Believe nothing.
Vote like it’s EVERYTHING!
Nudge your young friends in Pennsylvania to vote.
Don’t discuss politics, just ask them if they will vote. If so, how? Ask them if they know the deadlines for mail-in voting if they can’t vote in person
All hands on deck.