Yes, this was for July, not August. And yes, “But Dems still hold a commanding lead for total registered voters statewide with 3.9 million compared to Republicans’ 3.5 million as of last week.”
Still, I worry, as Tim Miller mentioned recently – the vibes and the polls aren’t really lining up.
tucking-junkie on
Upvoting this because it’s important data, and seems accurate.
Question: can anybody figure out the breakdown week-by-week or day-by-day? I’d be curious to see what the difference was post-Kamala, but I can’t seem to find the raw data that this article is referencing.
NoPreparationss on
I understand the feeling of dread man, I do too.
The rot in this country was always there, just that now they have stopped hiding in the bushes and are coming out in droves.
We can only hope and do our part whatever we can and pray that good will prevail over evil, and that there are plenty more decent people out there.
seoulsrvr on
Related – do any polls or poll aggregators, like Silver or 538, factor in registration numbers? Or enthusiasm polling?
seoulsrvr on
Worth noting that KH has 50 field offices in PA. Anyone know how many Trump has?
Dranzer_22 on
The momentum behind Kamala’s campaign is legitimate.
But Republicans will still turn out in droves in November. It should be expected Trump will again significantly increase his popular vote.
TopEagle4012 on
Stop looking at polls. They are nothing more than one sides attempt to convince the other that they are winning and the other side is losing. Kamala is winning in so many areas and capturing so many positive endorsements from Democrats moderates conservatives Independents and yes lots of Republicans many of whom worked or were previously associated with drumpf. Just keep one foot in front of the other. Donate what you can, whether it’s money, time, phone calls, or letters because the country you save may be your own.
heinzero on
As an European, can i get an ELI5? I understand that you have register to vote in the US. But why would you register as a voter for repulicans oder democrats. I don‘t get it, isn‘t this absurd for elections with voting secrecy?
Prestigious-Log-7210 on
Every citizen should vote. Your life or the life of someone you love may depend on it.
SmerffHS on
Can you feel it yet? The red wave is coming. It’s time to rebuke the lunacy of the left.
dr_z0idberg_md on
Good data to know although I still believe independents are where it’s at. Many of the younger generation, even the politically active ones, just do not feel connected or want to be associated with a political party. As a millennial and former Republican (I was tricked in college to registering as a Republican because the girl who helped me register to vote said I had to choose a party), I am a happy moderate independent now.
AcademicF on
Send PAC money down to hire some boots on the ground people and get them to knock on doors and drive people to voter registration
NinJesterV on
Calm down, Axios. Let me break this down into less-dramatic data:
Republicans have *registered* ~5,000 more new voters than Democrats in 2024. That’s ~~625~~ 716 more per month.
As of last week, Democrats had ~400,000 *more* registered voters than Republicans in PA.
So, at the current rate of ~~+625~~ +716 per month, Republicans will *match* Democrats in PA in:
**~~51 years and 4 months.~~** **46 years and 6 months.**
Yes, I know PA is a battleground state, but it has only voted for **one** Republican President since 1992. And while that President was Trump in 2016, PA *did not* vote for Trump in 2020. Further, Trump won PA in 2016 by only 0.7% of the vote. Biden took PA by 1.2% in 2020. Obama took PA by 10% in 2008. Dang.
In other words, Harris is *very likely* to win PA. I’m not saying she should coast, and I know she won’t, but all this “battleground” drama about PA is ignoring that the state has voted for a Democrat in 7/8 of the most recent elections, and Trump *lost* PA in 2020.
EDIT: Data does not include August, so 7 months, not 8.
randomnighmare on
As a person from a swing state I have yet to see people put up Harris/Walz signs, etc… Instead I am seeing Trump signs all over the place. Where I am, it’s like Harris doesn’t exist. She should campaign in my state (PA) and in the rural area to get more excitement.
basketballsteven on
Did Axios want to report the number of field offices or campaign workers each party has in Pennsylvania, cause that is needed to turn out those new voters? Put another way did Axios want to give the story complete context? Or is that way to much work for them.
ThickGur5353 on
Bucks county now has more registered Republicans than Democrats.Â
outoftheshowerahri on
This is the first remotely positive republican headline I’ve seen on Reddit in as long as I can remember. I’m commenting on this to see how quickly it gets taken down or astroturfed into some kind of call to action fright piece for democratic Reddit users. I bet this comment gets removed by mods lol
Irregular_Person on
Southern PA here. I’ve gotten a LOT of pro-trump and anti-kamala propaganda in the mail. I don’t think I’ve seen a *single* democrat mailer.
They’re mostly the same talking points we’ve all heard, but I have to chuckle every time they call her **”dangerously liberal”**, which is *often*.
Cannibal_Yak on
People this was from back in July before Harris ran.Â
PeachFuzz1999 on
Go out and vote and encourage your friends and family too
Any_Plenty_7013 on
Reddit is getting way to cocky like it did with Hilary that their gunna win
wfennell32 on
Ohio independent here, just wondering if in PA you have to declare either Dem or Rep or could you say unaffiliated and how many new registered are unaffiliated or independent?
24 Comments
Yes, this was for July, not August. And yes, “But Dems still hold a commanding lead for total registered voters statewide with 3.9 million compared to Republicans’ 3.5 million as of last week.”
Still, I worry, as Tim Miller mentioned recently – the vibes and the polls aren’t really lining up.
Upvoting this because it’s important data, and seems accurate.
Question: can anybody figure out the breakdown week-by-week or day-by-day? I’d be curious to see what the difference was post-Kamala, but I can’t seem to find the raw data that this article is referencing.
I understand the feeling of dread man, I do too.
The rot in this country was always there, just that now they have stopped hiding in the bushes and are coming out in droves.
We can only hope and do our part whatever we can and pray that good will prevail over evil, and that there are plenty more decent people out there.
Related – do any polls or poll aggregators, like Silver or 538, factor in registration numbers? Or enthusiasm polling?
Worth noting that KH has 50 field offices in PA. Anyone know how many Trump has?
The momentum behind Kamala’s campaign is legitimate.
But Republicans will still turn out in droves in November. It should be expected Trump will again significantly increase his popular vote.
Stop looking at polls. They are nothing more than one sides attempt to convince the other that they are winning and the other side is losing. Kamala is winning in so many areas and capturing so many positive endorsements from Democrats moderates conservatives Independents and yes lots of Republicans many of whom worked or were previously associated with drumpf. Just keep one foot in front of the other. Donate what you can, whether it’s money, time, phone calls, or letters because the country you save may be your own.
As an European, can i get an ELI5? I understand that you have register to vote in the US. But why would you register as a voter for repulicans oder democrats. I don‘t get it, isn‘t this absurd for elections with voting secrecy?
Every citizen should vote. Your life or the life of someone you love may depend on it.
Can you feel it yet? The red wave is coming. It’s time to rebuke the lunacy of the left.
Good data to know although I still believe independents are where it’s at. Many of the younger generation, even the politically active ones, just do not feel connected or want to be associated with a political party. As a millennial and former Republican (I was tricked in college to registering as a Republican because the girl who helped me register to vote said I had to choose a party), I am a happy moderate independent now.
Send PAC money down to hire some boots on the ground people and get them to knock on doors and drive people to voter registration
Calm down, Axios. Let me break this down into less-dramatic data:
Republicans have *registered* ~5,000 more new voters than Democrats in 2024. That’s ~~625~~ 716 more per month.
As of last week, Democrats had ~400,000 *more* registered voters than Republicans in PA.
So, at the current rate of ~~+625~~ +716 per month, Republicans will *match* Democrats in PA in:
**~~51 years and 4 months.~~** **46 years and 6 months.**
Yes, I know PA is a battleground state, but it has only voted for **one** Republican President since 1992. And while that President was Trump in 2016, PA *did not* vote for Trump in 2020. Further, Trump won PA in 2016 by only 0.7% of the vote. Biden took PA by 1.2% in 2020. Obama took PA by 10% in 2008. Dang.
In other words, Harris is *very likely* to win PA. I’m not saying she should coast, and I know she won’t, but all this “battleground” drama about PA is ignoring that the state has voted for a Democrat in 7/8 of the most recent elections, and Trump *lost* PA in 2020.
EDIT: Data does not include August, so 7 months, not 8.
As a person from a swing state I have yet to see people put up Harris/Walz signs, etc… Instead I am seeing Trump signs all over the place. Where I am, it’s like Harris doesn’t exist. She should campaign in my state (PA) and in the rural area to get more excitement.
Did Axios want to report the number of field offices or campaign workers each party has in Pennsylvania, cause that is needed to turn out those new voters? Put another way did Axios want to give the story complete context? Or is that way to much work for them.
Bucks county now has more registered Republicans than Democrats.Â
This is the first remotely positive republican headline I’ve seen on Reddit in as long as I can remember. I’m commenting on this to see how quickly it gets taken down or astroturfed into some kind of call to action fright piece for democratic Reddit users. I bet this comment gets removed by mods lol
Southern PA here. I’ve gotten a LOT of pro-trump and anti-kamala propaganda in the mail. I don’t think I’ve seen a *single* democrat mailer.
They’re mostly the same talking points we’ve all heard, but I have to chuckle every time they call her **”dangerously liberal”**, which is *often*.
People this was from back in July before Harris ran.Â
Go out and vote and encourage your friends and family too
Reddit is getting way to cocky like it did with Hilary that their gunna win
Ohio independent here, just wondering if in PA you have to declare either Dem or Rep or could you say unaffiliated and how many new registered are unaffiliated or independent?
Oh fuck
This was from July..