Kamala Harris cuts Trump’s lead in half in Texas, in a new poll by the University of Houston
https://www.houstonchronicle.com/politics/texas/article/kamala-harris-donald-trump-texas-poll-19714925.php?utm_campaign=CMS%20Sharing%20Tools%20(Premium)&utm_source=t.co&utm_medium=referral
30 Comments
Did not think I would ever even sniff the scent of Blexas….
[removed]
From what I hear, Allred is running a traditional-Democratic, low-energy campaign aimed at political nerds. So imagine where this race might be if it were Beto from four years ago (minus the suicidal gun comment).
I know I’m not the only one who misread that headline.
Texas in play? Don’t. Just don’t. I’ve been through this every election since the 1980s. Every single election I hear excited Democrats holding out the tantalizing possibility of Texas going Democrat. It won’t. At best the Democrats can get close enough to force Republicans to spend resources there.
Also Ted Cruz is only 2 points ahead.
Texas will vote to the left of Florida this year.
Don’t you do this to me! First Florida, now Texas?! How dare you give me this much hope.
Archive Link – https://archive.ph/O17YK
My take is that the only way Texas goes blue is if we get a true wave election. It COULD happen this year, but it probably won’t. I’d love to see it, expecially if enough down ballot Republicans were handed the pink slip to make our politics down here a little more sane.
I’m just saying it would take a lot. The Texas Democratic party has become feeble and inept over the last 48 years which was the last time Texas went blue. It could happen, but it would take a lot.
It’s still 5 points behind, unfortunately.
While Texas will be in play a few election cycles from now because Republicans keep shooting themselves in their regressive feet. At some point, the Rs are going to stay home and the Ds will pull it off.
But not yet.
Texas going blue is the longest of long shots. But the idea that Republicans now need to pay attention to Texas makes me very happy indeed.
Fuck Ted Cruz
Collin Allred for Senate
https://colinallred.com/
Even if we don’t go blue this go round, this is very important and telling for the next election and the next and so on. Blue Texas is coming. We are inevitable.
I don’t expect her to win the state but the numbers will sure help Allred defeat Cruz.
We are flying home just to vote this year (military family). The absentee ballot process is such a pain.
Maybe we send Bill Clinton down to Texas to campaign? Get him in some suburban and rural areas. And we need to send someone down to the Rio Grande as well to campaign, not sure who.
I know it’s early and things can change but please Texas vote Ted Cruz out!
If she can get enough voters to the polls maybe we can lose cruz.
I’ve learned to just not get hopeful for Texas. 😬
If republicans ever lose Texas they’ll cry fowl for all eternity
Isn’t it absolutely insane that unless she tips it all the way to a majority, all those votes get ignored? Same for all the Republicans in California.
National popular vote is so desperately needed. Until then, half the country lacks a voice.
Just curious how is Ted so popular in Texas ? Are there any significant accomplishments during his tenure
I’d just like to hear all the people who said Joe shouldn’t drop out because it would kill Democrats’ chances of winning issue their apology again. We *told* you all that Biden’s age was a major factor in the youth vote not coming out for him. People under 60 are *tired* of all our Presidents and Senators being in their 70s and 80s, and people under 30 are entirely turned off by the idea of someone who was born before 1960 being President again.
I just HAD to post on a cousin in-laws Ken Paxton share about his new investigation into illegal voting in TX. Apparently mass illegals can vote in state and federal elections…
It’s a fear driven mind set.
Weird.
(R) TX politicians are scared, and they think more fear is their only play.
Wait till I set up voter registration booths. You know don’t care who you vote for, just vote ideology.
That is how democracy works.
This is like 450K votes needed to switch for this election, based on what my guesstimate for turnout would be. (That Margin in 2020 was 630K, but turnout almost certainly won’t be that high again)
That actually ISN’T that difficult to do. It will, very likely, not happen, but just check the math on how the election Margin’s have gone this century. There’s a very outside chance it could happen this year, but it is on trend to happen in either 2028, but almost certainly by 2032. Once THAT happens, I don’t know how the GOP wins anywhere.
|2000|1,365,893||
|:-|:-|:-|
|2004|1,694,213|-328,320|
|2008|950,695|743,518|
|2012|1,261,719|-311,024|
|2016|807,179|454,540|
|2020|631,221|175,958|
If Harris can keep closing the gap, Texas might actually be in play this election cycle.
I’m going to party hard if it happens but I simply can’t get my hopes up about Texas anymore. It’s been “turning blue” for like 3 decades now and still hasn’t happened in a major race.
The article doesn’t mention that Allred is only down by two. The Democrats need to pour money into that race. It is probably their only real chance of a pickup, and with Montana likely to flip (I love Tester, but the state is just too red, but I’d love to be wrong), they need to flip Texas. Florida is a possibility, but unlikely.
Making Texas a funding sink for the RNC and Trump is the real advantage. They’ll have to spend to hold and that means fewer buys in Ohio/Pennsylvania/Wisconsin/Arizona/Georgia.
She’s not going to win Texas, BUT if she helps pushes enough people in the state to vote Allred *might* just be able to beat Cruz