Nate Silver: Harris “momentum” now has her beating Trump in updated election forecast

https://www.salon.com/2024/08/14/nate-silver-harris-momentum-now-has-her-beating-in-updated-forecast/

33 Comments

  1. It needs to be a landslide keeping the senate and taking the house. The time is now for major reforms.

  2. mymomknowsyourmom on

    Vance refuses to address accusations that he fraudulently entered into marriage with usha. Did she know he dresses as a woman and wears makeup?

  3. Extreme_Lunch_8744 on

    https://www.usa.gov/register-to-vote

    • ⁠Check your registration here as well. Some states have purged voter rolls and you may need to register again.
    • ⁠Some states require you to register 30 days before the election you wish to vote in.
    • ⁠If you have questions check with your local election officials

  4. Northerngal_420 on

    The DNC will be a big booster. Trump will hate the crowds and he’s gonna be jealous of the attention Harris-Walz will have. It’s just delicious.

  5. And 46% is short of her ceiling. I expect her to be anywhere around 48-49% at the end just as a safe prediction.

  6. If people get out and vote it’s entirely possible it’ll turn into a popular and electoral landslide.

    edit: Someone said the following and I agree…
    “Please add to your top level comment that we need volunteers. Everyone on this sub is voting but we need to do the work to win back our rights. I’m gonna quote Gov Tim Walz in his recent speech to AFSCME.

    “Hope is a great word and a beautiful name but it’s not a damn plan! We can’t HOPE that we defeat Donald Trump. We can’t HOPE that we collectively bargain. We can’t HOPE we protect social security. We can’t HOPE we address climate change. YOU DON’T HOPE TO WIN – YOU PLAN, PREPARE, AND WORK TO WIN!”

    I’m volunteering every weekend and every waking hour I can. This man has inspired the fuck out of me. GET OFF YOUR ASS AND DO THE WORK, DO ONE SHIFT, ONE PHONE BANK, ONE CANVAS, 100 POST CARDS! Go to Harris Walz website or vote save America”

  7. The_Darkprofit on

    Keep the hits coming, drown out the fascists distractions and keep ridiculing their horrible policies.

    Save our Democracy and elect a government that can respond to the challenges of a modern world instead of one that wants a return to slavery and the subjugation of women.

  8. I love nice poll numbers but I keep having flashbacks of 2016 when every poll had Clinton winning easily.

    Vote.

  9. notcaffeinefree on

    >Harris leads Trump in the presidential race by 3.1 points, 46.8% to 43.7%.

    Not exactly a crushing lead. That’s basically just a coin toss. Ridiculous that it’s still this close.

  10. There’s a potential for: Obama, Obama, Trump, Biden, Harris

    16 of the last 20 years would have Dem control of the WH. Understanding that Trump lost the popular vote in 2016. This is incredibly encouraging

  11. canihaveurpants on

    I am hoping last night’s election results in Wisconsin are a taste of things to come. Democrats must get out and vote!

  12. HourBlueberry5833 on

    Now? She’s been beating Trump on Nate Silver’s forecast for over 2 weeks now

  13. I am hopeful that the convention kicking off on Monday will introduce these smart and competent candidates to even more people and they will gain three more points nationally. 🤞🏻🤞🏻🤞🏻 I am a goofy optimist

  14. No matter what, vote in the election anyway. No matter how much you think this might be in the bag. Vote.

  15. Daydream_machine on

    She’s leading in Arizona now! Obviously polls are just a snapshot but the momentum is absolutely real 🥥🌴

  16. Machinemaintenance on

    Please Americans do not think this is a done deal. Be sure to vote and make sure Trump goes to jail.