Submission Statement: German intelligence **did not** claim that a large-scale Russian attack in the late 2020s was inevitable, but rather that Russia would have the capability to mount such an attack by that time. He also did not mention the other variables such as the potential of Ukraine’s collapse or the posture of the United States in Europe. But Mr Kahl largely restated the obvious about sabotage attacks and other forms of hybrid warfare, which are impossible to deter.
Commentary: There is still no definitive Western Intelligence assessment that Putin and the men around him have territorial ambitions for military conquest of any NATO members. But of course it’s always best to prepare for the worst, even if it’s not going to happen. Following a hypothetical victory over Ukraine, the temptation in Moscow to order a few Spetsnaz across the Estonian and Latvian borders would be strong.
GrapefruitForward196 on
Just try it, Vladimir
MountErrigal on
I don’t believe a word the German foreign intelligence services say.
Been riddled with spies and moles for a while now
BigDaddy0790 on
This is rather vague. They can do so today, question is how effective will it be and will they.
altecgs on
German intelligence…
same intelligence that missed the NS attacks and still “doesn’t know” who did it ?
FreedomDayF22 on
They would get lit up like the fourth of July
SomethingSomethingUA on
Highly doubt they can launch an attack, even if they had completely capitulated Ukraine in 2022 and took no casualties. The Russian army lacks advanced equipment + air + naval power. A NATO confrontation would be a suicide attack.
7 Comments
Submission Statement: German intelligence **did not** claim that a large-scale Russian attack in the late 2020s was inevitable, but rather that Russia would have the capability to mount such an attack by that time. He also did not mention the other variables such as the potential of Ukraine’s collapse or the posture of the United States in Europe. But Mr Kahl largely restated the obvious about sabotage attacks and other forms of hybrid warfare, which are impossible to deter.
Commentary: There is still no definitive Western Intelligence assessment that Putin and the men around him have territorial ambitions for military conquest of any NATO members. But of course it’s always best to prepare for the worst, even if it’s not going to happen. Following a hypothetical victory over Ukraine, the temptation in Moscow to order a few Spetsnaz across the Estonian and Latvian borders would be strong.
Just try it, Vladimir
I don’t believe a word the German foreign intelligence services say.
Been riddled with spies and moles for a while now
This is rather vague. They can do so today, question is how effective will it be and will they.
German intelligence…
same intelligence that missed the NS attacks and still “doesn’t know” who did it ?
They would get lit up like the fourth of July
Highly doubt they can launch an attack, even if they had completely capitulated Ukraine in 2022 and took no casualties. The Russian army lacks advanced equipment + air + naval power. A NATO confrontation would be a suicide attack.