According to a senior U.S. official, Iran is reportedly preparing to launch a ballistic missile attack against Israel in response to recent Israeli assassinations.
This attack is being framed as retaliation for the series of heavy blows Israel has dealt to Hezbollah, culminating in the current ground operation in southern Lebanon. However, Iran has been cautious ever since the assassination of Hamas leader Ismail Haniyeh in Tehran, suggesting concerns about a possible loss of deterrence or even tensions with its key proxy, Hezbollah. The careful calculation by Iran seems to reflect deeper worries about maintaining its influence in the region.
Israel, meanwhile, has vowed to respond forcefully to any direct attack, and the U.S. has issued stern warnings of severe consequences for Iran.
Is this a repeat of Iran’s earlier, largely unsuccessful attempt to strike Israel? A final effort to save face before stepping back? Or is Israel, sensing a strategic advantage, laying a trap to provoke a direct confrontation with Iran, potentially seeking to draw in broader Western involvement?
HotSteak on
Kind of seems like they have to. If they just do nothing while Hezbollah is destroyed it will surely hurt their standing with all of terror/proxy groups they support.
Total-Confusion-9198 on
Last breath before Persia makes a comeback. I am really surprised people are not talking about it. It’s way more probable than uS cIvIL wAr or fAll oF WeSt.
frizzykid on
Iran has ballistic missiles and they have cruise missiles and drones. Cruise missiles and drones take hours to get to their target, at least from Iran to Israel.
A Ballistic missile is much more complicated to stop if you can’t intercept them when they launch or when they are in space because it takes seconds for it to return from orbit and strike the target.
Iran could also use their airforce to assist in firing a cruise missile at a higher speed which would be harder to catch once it’s launched but they’d need to find airspace to fly through undetected.
Also I think it’s important to note what is likely to be hit, Iran is not likely to target residential buildings, west bank which is between Jordan and Israel border, or Golan, They’re probably going to target hard to replace shipping infrastructure along the coast of the Mediterranean that often takes months to years to repair or target Israeli military airfields.
So with all that in mind, if they are going to launch a serious strike most likely it will come with a ballistic missile.
Edit: also moments after posting this there are reports from analysts that basically confirm Iran is likely to use balistic missiles if they were to strike.
Narf234 on
Israel might invoke some revelations style retaliation against Magog with modern brimstone.
Significant_Swing_76 on
I don’t buy the notion that the Iranian attack in the spring was indicative of their capacity.
It was a mere warning shot, if they had been serious they wouldn’t have sent all the drones they knew would be shot down.
If Iran wants, they can deal a serious blow to Israel.
Question is – are they prepared to deal with the consequences?
DaySecure7642 on
I knew it all started from the Israeli occupation of Palestinians land, October 7 terrorist attack on Israel. But why this year, why now? It got me thinking, are all these trying to divert the US from supporting Ukraine?
8 Comments
**Submission Statement:**
According to a senior U.S. official, Iran is reportedly preparing to launch a ballistic missile attack against Israel in response to recent Israeli assassinations.
This attack is being framed as retaliation for the series of heavy blows Israel has dealt to Hezbollah, culminating in the current ground operation in southern Lebanon. However, Iran has been cautious ever since the assassination of Hamas leader Ismail Haniyeh in Tehran, suggesting concerns about a possible loss of deterrence or even tensions with its key proxy, Hezbollah. The careful calculation by Iran seems to reflect deeper worries about maintaining its influence in the region.
Israel, meanwhile, has vowed to respond forcefully to any direct attack, and the U.S. has issued stern warnings of severe consequences for Iran.
Is this a repeat of Iran’s earlier, largely unsuccessful attempt to strike Israel? A final effort to save face before stepping back? Or is Israel, sensing a strategic advantage, laying a trap to provoke a direct confrontation with Iran, potentially seeking to draw in broader Western involvement?
Kind of seems like they have to. If they just do nothing while Hezbollah is destroyed it will surely hurt their standing with all of terror/proxy groups they support.
Last breath before Persia makes a comeback. I am really surprised people are not talking about it. It’s way more probable than uS cIvIL wAr or fAll oF WeSt.
Iran has ballistic missiles and they have cruise missiles and drones. Cruise missiles and drones take hours to get to their target, at least from Iran to Israel.
A Ballistic missile is much more complicated to stop if you can’t intercept them when they launch or when they are in space because it takes seconds for it to return from orbit and strike the target.
Iran could also use their airforce to assist in firing a cruise missile at a higher speed which would be harder to catch once it’s launched but they’d need to find airspace to fly through undetected.
Also I think it’s important to note what is likely to be hit, Iran is not likely to target residential buildings, west bank which is between Jordan and Israel border, or Golan, They’re probably going to target hard to replace shipping infrastructure along the coast of the Mediterranean that often takes months to years to repair or target Israeli military airfields.
So with all that in mind, if they are going to launch a serious strike most likely it will come with a ballistic missile.
Edit: also moments after posting this there are reports from analysts that basically confirm Iran is likely to use balistic missiles if they were to strike.
Israel might invoke some revelations style retaliation against Magog with modern brimstone.
I don’t buy the notion that the Iranian attack in the spring was indicative of their capacity.
It was a mere warning shot, if they had been serious they wouldn’t have sent all the drones they knew would be shot down.
If Iran wants, they can deal a serious blow to Israel.
Question is – are they prepared to deal with the consequences?
I knew it all started from the Israeli occupation of Palestinians land, October 7 terrorist attack on Israel. But why this year, why now? It got me thinking, are all these trying to divert the US from supporting Ukraine?
It started. We’re sitting in our [safe rooms](https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Merkhav_Mugan) (those who have one at least) right now.