> According to a new Echelon Insights National Poll, Harris pulled ahead of Trump 47%-45% on who people said would definitely or probably do a better job with the economy and jobs, and Harris was ahead 48%-45% among those who responded she’s do better at tackling inflation and the cost of living.
According to this poll, she is now leading Trump in terms of handling the economy and tackling inflation!
Also, the new [Echelon Insights poll](https://echeloninsights.com/in-the-news/sept2024-verified-voter-omnibus-2/) has Harris ahead of Trump by 7 points, 52%-45%. These Harris+6 or 7 national polls are becoming more and more common. Reuters/Ipsos just came out with a poll of her ahead by 6 points yesterday.
armchairmegalomaniac on
The economy. Harris is up on Trump 47 to 45. That is fantastic news since this has long been considered Trump’s strongest area with voters (God only knows why). I guess her economic speech and work on the stump have started resonating with more voters.
account_for_yaoi on
If Harris is now winning on the economy, I’m nearly confident enough to say Trump is toast. Let’s make it reality by voting!
Neat-Log-1165 on
Who would’ve thought Harris could edge out Trump on the economy; it might shake up the whole narrative moving forward.
nagolalternate on
He’s currently on Fox fixated on sex change operations. He keeps repeating the same lie over and over reading from a list he’s looking at. It’s insane.
NOCHILLDYL94 on
Trump bankrupted a casino and wants to replace income tax with Tarrifs and Americans are just now realizing maybe he’s a buffoon on economics. My lord……
GwendolynHa on
I’m a little skeptical of this poll, but there are some interesting parts. This is a likely voter poll (meaning they’ve almost all voted before, and voted in the last couple of elections)
Breakdown was 39% Dem, 38% Rep, 20% ‘Ind’ – 39% of those polled were from Southern States, 22% Midwestern States. This is one of the few even/pro-Dem models I’ve seen out there this cycle.
As per usual in most of the recent polling, people who have a preference aren’t budging on their choice, high 90s in both cases.
Poll is light on 35-49 age group IMO (22% each 18-34, 35-49, 27% 50-64, 29% 65+) – this lines up with 30% of the respondents reporting as ‘Retired’, this is backed up by ‘81% of respondents have used Facebook in the last day’ and ‘51% get their news from local TV’.
People think Harris would be better than Trump at Karaoke 55%-16%
59% have an income under $75k (41% under 50k). 72% are not a parent/guardian of someone under 18.
Of those who mentioned the Taylor Swift endorsement was a factor – 73% Harris, 27% Trump
Only 17% will be voting by mail. 41% on election day, 18% in-person early
Concerns: 1) Cost of living 45%, 2) Jobs/Economy 27%, 3) Immigration 26%, 4) Democracy 16%, 5) Abortion 14%. Considering the older demo, that’s not a crazy breakdown, but I’ve noticed Abortion dropping out of the top 3 more and more lately.
Another thing that’s been consistent over the last couple of weeks, Biden’s at 43% favorable, he’s been 42-43% pretty shockingly consistently of late.
Harris is above water favorable in this one, 51%
I’m not sure I love the model or sample, but they did ask a lot of interesting questions at least. Worth a read through, I think.
panihil on
The article is slanted. The last bit talks about her getting away from Biden’s ‘baggage’ on the economy. What baggage? It’s been all upside since he took over from Drumph.
Baller-on_a-budget on
This wad shouldn’t even be at 10%.
Turn the oxygen off November
ImmediatelyOrSooner on
Democrats will never overtake republicans to reach their base’s main policy concern: Screaming and ranting at the clouds
GHamPlayz on
This is more important than vague “who will you vote for” polls
Southern-Detail1334 on
I was listening to the Bulwark a couple of days ago when there was another poll that had her down a point on the economy and Bill Kristol was saying if that is as good as things get for her on this issue she will win the election.
Biden and then Harris has been so underwater on the economy that this turnaround is impressive. The polls are still so tight but these other indicators are really good signs.
Tommy__want__wingy on
State polls > National
anti_hope_dealer on
Meanwhile in North Carollina, republicans remove nearly a million from voter rolls. If you know anyone in North Carolina, keep them up to speed, bang on their doors, and let them know what’s up.
ZoeyMainx on
Kamala Harris has a slight edge ahead of Donald Trump on an issue that’s consistently ranked at the top of voters’ minds: the economy.
According to a new Echelon Insights National Poll, Harris pulled ahead of Trump 47%-45% on who people said would definitely or probably do a better job with the economy and jobs, and Harris was ahead 48%-45% among those who responded she’s do better at tackling inflation and the cost of living.
— Benjy Sarlin (@BenjySarlin) September 26, 2024
In a separate poll from earlier in the month, about 4 in 10 registered voters say Trump would do a better job handling the economy, while a similar number say that about Harris, according to a new poll by The Associated Press-NORC Center for Public Affairs Research. About 1 in 10 voters don’t trust either candidate, and a similar share has equal faith in them.
The finding is a warning sign for Trump, who has tried to link Harris to Joe Biden’s economic track record.
The polls suggest that Harris may be escaping some of the president’s baggage on the issue, undercutting what was previously one of Trump’s major advantages.
The economy has long been a weak issue for Biden: A separate AP-NORC poll conducted in late June, before Biden’s disastrous debate with Trump, found that about 6 in 10 Americans disapproved of his handling of the economy. Earlier this year, Americans were much more likely to say that Trump’s presidency helped the country on cost of living and job creation, compared to Biden’s.
Silly-Scene6524 on
Thrills a moron with a 3rd grade level understanding of economics, so embarrassing for this country.
brickicecream15 on
It is absolutely shocking to me that anyone in this country should feel like it is more important to “agree” with the driver of a car than be confident that they are in a state to drive at all.
sb_in_ne on
I know it’s not really something to campaign on, since it hasn’t really borne a lot of fruit (yet), but I think one of the strongest potentials Biden-Harris have on the economy is their general anti-monopolist stance. It’s a rather big shift after decades of pretty laissez-faire attitude beginning with Reagan. Want to bring grocery costs down? A big piece is the prevention of further grocery store mergers, for example, and maybe even breaking up companies like Kroger.
PantaRheiExpress on
The voters 2nd top concern is “Netflix cancelling my favorite tv show after 1 season.” But the politicians have been surprisingly silent on this topic.
/s
Vickie1734 on
All she needs to say to keep this momentum up is “The fact that Trump doesn’t understand how much his proposed tariffs would hurt the economy shows how unequipped he is to manage our economy”
JoeCasella on
Goldman Sachs sees a Harris win will be a big boost to the economy, while a Trump win would result a negative hit to the economy.
trump inherited Obama’s economy and rode the wave solely on the heels of his administration.
readerf52 on
In 2016, I asked my brother why he was willing to hand the financial running of our country to a man who had filed for bankruptcy 4 times in the past 10 years.
He suddenly realized he was not.
Thank goodness. We still got trump, but I didn’t know anyone who voted for him.
espresso_martini__ on
Perhaps people heard Trumps concept of a plan on child support.
Trumps plans are “we going to fix it, it will be the best plan ever..” He never fucking mentions what that plan is. Because if the only idea he has is tariffs then we’re fucked if he gets elected.
Serialfornicator on
What a poorly written headline
Maximillzz on
I understand that voters’ view of Biden’s economic record is fairly negative, and as a result, Kamala has to do this delicate dance where she distances herself from Biden, but not to the degree that it’s ridiculous for voters to believe. From this poll, it would seem she’s doing a good job of toeing that line.
But dammit — it’s frustrating to me that (a) voters have that view, and (b) she can’t more forcefully defend the record. Biden’s economy was marred by inflation and price gouging, while the 30+ year, long-term cost trends of major life things like healthcare, childcare, higher ed, and of course HOUSING accelerated. So I get why folks feel that way. But every country had inflation, and ours fared the best. It’s now back to normal.
So: inflation is down, job market is solid, stock market (and 401(k)s) are at record levels, gas prices are low, investments in infrastructure and energy production are way up. Why can’t more folks see that actually — especially given the circumstances — this economy is actually pretty fucking great! It would make her argument that much better. I suppose if her strategy is working she shouldn’t change it, but damn I wish she could hammer home and more forcefully defend her administration’s record.
cdado6 on
Four years ago our unemployment rate was over 11%, the Dow was half of what it is now, and we were storing bodies in reefers and mass graves.
That’s Trumps America
Kr155 on
Harris should have buried trump on the economy, but voters are to stupid to understand that tarrifs will drive inflation and lead to shortages, etc. And just tank the exonomy
Striking-Ad770 on
I don’t see anybody talking about how truly stupid Trump’s 2 biggest economic talking points are.
1. He’s promised to deregulate, cut taxes, and drive down the cost of energy.
Trickle down economics which first was introduced under Reagan worked in the 80’s to stimulate economic growth, but 40 yrs on it has led to about the highest income inequality in the history of our nation. Deregulation has paved the way for climate instability and combined with the uncertainty of new technology such as AI, do we really think we need to reduce regulations on new tech that can have incredible dire consequences for our economy and global instability. I’m all for lowering the cost of energy, but under Biden the US is currently energy independent for the first time and we are producing more oil and energy than we ever did under Trump.
2. He plans on stimulating the economy with tarrifs.
Tariffs on goods from countries like China, Mexico, or the EU will directly increase the cost of imported products. They would also have create supply chain issues. Some US ompanies rely on imported components or raw materials to manufacture their products. Tariffs in turn would also Impact on U.S. Producers with higher production costs, especially for goods containing steel and aluminum. Products such as cars, appliances, and construction materials would likely increase significantly. The countries we impose tariffs on could also likely apply retaliatory tariffs like China has during Trumps first administration. We’ve been battling inflation since the pandemic and we’ve finally returned to pre pandemic levels. This stupid policy would almost certainly create more inflationary pressure, and the US tax payers and consumers would feel the brunt of it all.
This is the plan of the Conservative party??? These ideas are fundamentally in opposition to traditional conservative policies. Not to mention Trump contributed more to our deficit than any other administration had during a single term.
And the economy is his greatest strength????
WTF people? What are we doing?
Donut131313 on
Do not get complacent. Vote like your life depends on it because it does.
31 Comments
> According to a new Echelon Insights National Poll, Harris pulled ahead of Trump 47%-45% on who people said would definitely or probably do a better job with the economy and jobs, and Harris was ahead 48%-45% among those who responded she’s do better at tackling inflation and the cost of living.
According to this poll, she is now leading Trump in terms of handling the economy and tackling inflation!
Also, the new [Echelon Insights poll](https://echeloninsights.com/in-the-news/sept2024-verified-voter-omnibus-2/) has Harris ahead of Trump by 7 points, 52%-45%. These Harris+6 or 7 national polls are becoming more and more common. Reuters/Ipsos just came out with a poll of her ahead by 6 points yesterday.
The economy. Harris is up on Trump 47 to 45. That is fantastic news since this has long been considered Trump’s strongest area with voters (God only knows why). I guess her economic speech and work on the stump have started resonating with more voters.
If Harris is now winning on the economy, I’m nearly confident enough to say Trump is toast. Let’s make it reality by voting!
Who would’ve thought Harris could edge out Trump on the economy; it might shake up the whole narrative moving forward.
He’s currently on Fox fixated on sex change operations. He keeps repeating the same lie over and over reading from a list he’s looking at. It’s insane.
Trump bankrupted a casino and wants to replace income tax with Tarrifs and Americans are just now realizing maybe he’s a buffoon on economics. My lord……
I’m a little skeptical of this poll, but there are some interesting parts. This is a likely voter poll (meaning they’ve almost all voted before, and voted in the last couple of elections)
Breakdown was 39% Dem, 38% Rep, 20% ‘Ind’ – 39% of those polled were from Southern States, 22% Midwestern States. This is one of the few even/pro-Dem models I’ve seen out there this cycle.
As per usual in most of the recent polling, people who have a preference aren’t budging on their choice, high 90s in both cases.
Poll is light on 35-49 age group IMO (22% each 18-34, 35-49, 27% 50-64, 29% 65+) – this lines up with 30% of the respondents reporting as ‘Retired’, this is backed up by ‘81% of respondents have used Facebook in the last day’ and ‘51% get their news from local TV’.
People think Harris would be better than Trump at Karaoke 55%-16%
59% have an income under $75k (41% under 50k). 72% are not a parent/guardian of someone under 18.
Of those who mentioned the Taylor Swift endorsement was a factor – 73% Harris, 27% Trump
Only 17% will be voting by mail. 41% on election day, 18% in-person early
Concerns: 1) Cost of living 45%, 2) Jobs/Economy 27%, 3) Immigration 26%, 4) Democracy 16%, 5) Abortion 14%. Considering the older demo, that’s not a crazy breakdown, but I’ve noticed Abortion dropping out of the top 3 more and more lately.
Another thing that’s been consistent over the last couple of weeks, Biden’s at 43% favorable, he’s been 42-43% pretty shockingly consistently of late.
Harris is above water favorable in this one, 51%
I’m not sure I love the model or sample, but they did ask a lot of interesting questions at least. Worth a read through, I think.
The article is slanted. The last bit talks about her getting away from Biden’s ‘baggage’ on the economy. What baggage? It’s been all upside since he took over from Drumph.
This wad shouldn’t even be at 10%.
Turn the oxygen off November
Democrats will never overtake republicans to reach their base’s main policy concern: Screaming and ranting at the clouds
This is more important than vague “who will you vote for” polls
I was listening to the Bulwark a couple of days ago when there was another poll that had her down a point on the economy and Bill Kristol was saying if that is as good as things get for her on this issue she will win the election.
Biden and then Harris has been so underwater on the economy that this turnaround is impressive. The polls are still so tight but these other indicators are really good signs.
State polls > National
Meanwhile in North Carollina, republicans remove nearly a million from voter rolls. If you know anyone in North Carolina, keep them up to speed, bang on their doors, and let them know what’s up.
Kamala Harris has a slight edge ahead of Donald Trump on an issue that’s consistently ranked at the top of voters’ minds: the economy.
According to a new Echelon Insights National Poll, Harris pulled ahead of Trump 47%-45% on who people said would definitely or probably do a better job with the economy and jobs, and Harris was ahead 48%-45% among those who responded she’s do better at tackling inflation and the cost of living.
— Benjy Sarlin (@BenjySarlin) September 26, 2024
In a separate poll from earlier in the month, about 4 in 10 registered voters say Trump would do a better job handling the economy, while a similar number say that about Harris, according to a new poll by The Associated Press-NORC Center for Public Affairs Research. About 1 in 10 voters don’t trust either candidate, and a similar share has equal faith in them.
The finding is a warning sign for Trump, who has tried to link Harris to Joe Biden’s economic track record.
The polls suggest that Harris may be escaping some of the president’s baggage on the issue, undercutting what was previously one of Trump’s major advantages.
The economy has long been a weak issue for Biden: A separate AP-NORC poll conducted in late June, before Biden’s disastrous debate with Trump, found that about 6 in 10 Americans disapproved of his handling of the economy. Earlier this year, Americans were much more likely to say that Trump’s presidency helped the country on cost of living and job creation, compared to Biden’s.
Thrills a moron with a 3rd grade level understanding of economics, so embarrassing for this country.
It is absolutely shocking to me that anyone in this country should feel like it is more important to “agree” with the driver of a car than be confident that they are in a state to drive at all.
I know it’s not really something to campaign on, since it hasn’t really borne a lot of fruit (yet), but I think one of the strongest potentials Biden-Harris have on the economy is their general anti-monopolist stance. It’s a rather big shift after decades of pretty laissez-faire attitude beginning with Reagan. Want to bring grocery costs down? A big piece is the prevention of further grocery store mergers, for example, and maybe even breaking up companies like Kroger.
The voters 2nd top concern is “Netflix cancelling my favorite tv show after 1 season.” But the politicians have been surprisingly silent on this topic.
/s
All she needs to say to keep this momentum up is “The fact that Trump doesn’t understand how much his proposed tariffs would hurt the economy shows how unequipped he is to manage our economy”
Goldman Sachs sees a Harris win will be a big boost to the economy, while a Trump win would result a negative hit to the economy.
https://www.reuters.com/world/us/goldman-sachs-sees-biggest-boost-us-economy-harris-win-2024-09-04/
She’s not the actual devil?
trump inherited Obama’s economy and rode the wave solely on the heels of his administration.
In 2016, I asked my brother why he was willing to hand the financial running of our country to a man who had filed for bankruptcy 4 times in the past 10 years.
He suddenly realized he was not.
Thank goodness. We still got trump, but I didn’t know anyone who voted for him.
Perhaps people heard Trumps concept of a plan on child support.
Trumps plans are “we going to fix it, it will be the best plan ever..” He never fucking mentions what that plan is. Because if the only idea he has is tariffs then we’re fucked if he gets elected.
What a poorly written headline
I understand that voters’ view of Biden’s economic record is fairly negative, and as a result, Kamala has to do this delicate dance where she distances herself from Biden, but not to the degree that it’s ridiculous for voters to believe. From this poll, it would seem she’s doing a good job of toeing that line.
But dammit — it’s frustrating to me that (a) voters have that view, and (b) she can’t more forcefully defend the record. Biden’s economy was marred by inflation and price gouging, while the 30+ year, long-term cost trends of major life things like healthcare, childcare, higher ed, and of course HOUSING accelerated. So I get why folks feel that way. But every country had inflation, and ours fared the best. It’s now back to normal.
So: inflation is down, job market is solid, stock market (and 401(k)s) are at record levels, gas prices are low, investments in infrastructure and energy production are way up. Why can’t more folks see that actually — especially given the circumstances — this economy is actually pretty fucking great! It would make her argument that much better. I suppose if her strategy is working she shouldn’t change it, but damn I wish she could hammer home and more forcefully defend her administration’s record.
Four years ago our unemployment rate was over 11%, the Dow was half of what it is now, and we were storing bodies in reefers and mass graves.
That’s Trumps America
Harris should have buried trump on the economy, but voters are to stupid to understand that tarrifs will drive inflation and lead to shortages, etc. And just tank the exonomy
I don’t see anybody talking about how truly stupid Trump’s 2 biggest economic talking points are.
1. He’s promised to deregulate, cut taxes, and drive down the cost of energy.
Trickle down economics which first was introduced under Reagan worked in the 80’s to stimulate economic growth, but 40 yrs on it has led to about the highest income inequality in the history of our nation. Deregulation has paved the way for climate instability and combined with the uncertainty of new technology such as AI, do we really think we need to reduce regulations on new tech that can have incredible dire consequences for our economy and global instability. I’m all for lowering the cost of energy, but under Biden the US is currently energy independent for the first time and we are producing more oil and energy than we ever did under Trump.
2. He plans on stimulating the economy with tarrifs.
Tariffs on goods from countries like China, Mexico, or the EU will directly increase the cost of imported products. They would also have create supply chain issues. Some US ompanies rely on imported components or raw materials to manufacture their products. Tariffs in turn would also Impact on U.S. Producers with higher production costs, especially for goods containing steel and aluminum. Products such as cars, appliances, and construction materials would likely increase significantly. The countries we impose tariffs on could also likely apply retaliatory tariffs like China has during Trumps first administration. We’ve been battling inflation since the pandemic and we’ve finally returned to pre pandemic levels. This stupid policy would almost certainly create more inflationary pressure, and the US tax payers and consumers would feel the brunt of it all.
This is the plan of the Conservative party??? These ideas are fundamentally in opposition to traditional conservative policies. Not to mention Trump contributed more to our deficit than any other administration had during a single term.
And the economy is his greatest strength????
WTF people? What are we doing?
Do not get complacent. Vote like your life depends on it because it does.