> Democratic Vice President Kamala Harris leads Republican Donald Trump 47% to 40% in the race to win the Nov. 5 presidential election. Her lead was slightly higher than her five-point advantage over Trump in a Sept 11-12 Reuters/Ipsos poll.
> Among likely voters, Harris led 50% to 44%.
This is the largest national lead for Harris reported by Reuters/Ipsos and one of Harris’s highest national leads in *any* poll, I believe. When you look at likely voters, Harris is leading by 6 points, 50% to 44%. Obviously this poll could be an outlier, but if she really is winning the national popular vote by 6 or 7 points, I don’t see how she doesn’t win the Electoral College and the presidency.
newnewtonium on
We must overwhelmingly let our voices be heard and our votes counted. The only way forward is to destroy Trump at the polls.
The-Real-Number-One on
THIS is why Trump is going to debate again. The only reason he is saying ‘no’ now is because he wants some kind of concession from Kamala so he can feel like a big boy. Unfortunately for him she is smart and won’t negotiate.
GratefuLdPhisH on
Seriously who are these 40% of voters who think yeah trump would be good again as a president?
The man literally attempted a coup several different ways
NoReserve7293 on
What is wrong in this country when such a flawed candidate as Trump can still get 40% of the national vote? Is this a combination of racism and ignorance is or just racism? Vote, vote, vote blue.
Hari_Azole on
VOTE! Vote like she’s behind in the polls!
3rn3stb0rg9 on
This is a great quality polling outfit
DrunkenTypist on
This is a national poll. The Presidential election is state by state and unbelievably (to me at any rate) there are States that have them neck and neck and others that even have this orange poltroon ahead!
shockinglyunoriginal on
The Japan news.com knows what’s up lol
TheOhrenberger on
It’s definitely not a coincidence that the polls get wider as Trump goes further and further off the rails. This country is tired of his shit.
NotAnotherEmpire on
All of these figures are possible with a central tendency of Harris +3.5. The split in polling though by type is pretty stark.
Scientific online polls are near non-competitive margins like this one. Both nationally and in the implied results from state polls e.g. Wisconsin 52-48 Harris (Marquette isn’t a phone pollster anymore, deeming it unreliable).
Phone polls are generally closer to that + 2-3 D range where you wonder what the EC bias of Pennsylvania is vs. a national %.
And then there’s whatever NYT / Sienna is doing which is currently to the right of the partisan R pollsters with super-cheap methods. If NYT/Sienna wasn’t included at all, Trump would look pretty cooked. Their split and weight in averages has that big of an effect.
reddittorbrigade on
CNN has been bragging on tv that Trump is the most trusted in economy.
Selective breaking news.
toughpanda on
I’m not invested in the national polls anymore. The only ones that matter at this point are the swing state polls. We know more people overall like her more than Trump, but it’s the stupid electoral college that are making this thing an uphill battle for her.
jish5 on
God the sooner this election is over with (and hopefully Kamala winning), the better. If Kamala wins, this will hopefully be the final straw to deal with Trump once and for all and hopefully those dealing with investigations against him realize that sitting around and taking too long is no longer viable against such a horrible person who will try this shit again in 2 years.
Necessary_Chip9934 on
Should be 90-10%! I don’t understand why the polls are so close. (Not looking for an explanation, btw.)
Scrooge-MacDuck on
and in 30 seconds, another story will be posted about how the election polls are “razor thin” and this election is going to be tight
Commercial_Event338 on
Is it possible he’s using the wrong makeup?
ry1701 on
Whiplash.
Every poll is a news story.
the_Mandalorian_vode on
Don’t celebrate, VOTE! It’s not over until January 6th, 2025. Fuck Donald Trump, his clan, the Klan and his cult.
Kobayashi_Maru186 on
Remember 2016! **VOTE** **VOTE** **VOTE**
question1343 on
Until she is inaugurated, none of these polls mean anything. To add, I will never believe Trump won’t be president again until he passes of old age and is 6’ under.
Spaceman2901 on
Who the hell are the 13% “undecided” or 3rd party? This is about the soul of the nation and the fate of our republic.
Our voting system sucks. The duopoly sucks. You can’t sit it out this time.
lordpuddingcup on
As must be said ignore polls and get out to vote
And get others out to vote, drive friends and family, remind people who normally don’t vote to vote
Especially in swing states and Texas and Florida and North Carolina!!!!!!! Please!!!!!
avinthecouch on
Blame capitalizations, but I spent a minute wondering who “Widens” is.
ittechboy on
It is still unfathomable to me that so many people support the guy who started a January 6th insurrection on the capital and is a convicted rapist and felon who has been sued multiple times for fraud, once for a children’s cancer charity, has said the most wild and racist things imaginable while promising to be a dictator and half the country is like ya….. That’s my guy, seems like a good leader. Like what the actual fuck am I trapped in a night nightmare right now?
RobertPaulson81 on
Death to Trump and MAGA. At the polls
holdaydogs on
Vote no matter what the polls say!
satyrday12 on
I hope that Harris also gets votes from a lot of unlikely, unpolled voters. We need to stuff the MAGA deplorables back into their baskets. They don’t understand our government at all.
highinthemountains on
Remember that the only polls that matter are the ones that have ballot boxes at them. Register and check your registration at vote.gov Vote on Roevember 5th
e4evie on
More!!!
alaraja on
Still not enough
distractionsgalore on
Trump belongs in an Assisted Living Facility.
runningwithscissors8 on
Anyone remember 2016? Don’t listen to the polls. Vote.
33 Comments
[Here is the Reuters article on their latest poll](https://www.reuters.com/world/us/harris-builds-lead-over-trump-voters-see-her-debate-winner-reutersipsos-poll-2024-09-12/):
> Democratic Vice President Kamala Harris leads Republican Donald Trump 47% to 40% in the race to win the Nov. 5 presidential election. Her lead was slightly higher than her five-point advantage over Trump in a Sept 11-12 Reuters/Ipsos poll.
> Among likely voters, Harris led 50% to 44%.
This is the largest national lead for Harris reported by Reuters/Ipsos and one of Harris’s highest national leads in *any* poll, I believe. When you look at likely voters, Harris is leading by 6 points, 50% to 44%. Obviously this poll could be an outlier, but if she really is winning the national popular vote by 6 or 7 points, I don’t see how she doesn’t win the Electoral College and the presidency.
We must overwhelmingly let our voices be heard and our votes counted. The only way forward is to destroy Trump at the polls.
THIS is why Trump is going to debate again. The only reason he is saying ‘no’ now is because he wants some kind of concession from Kamala so he can feel like a big boy. Unfortunately for him she is smart and won’t negotiate.
Seriously who are these 40% of voters who think yeah trump would be good again as a president?
The man literally attempted a coup several different ways
What is wrong in this country when such a flawed candidate as Trump can still get 40% of the national vote? Is this a combination of racism and ignorance is or just racism? Vote, vote, vote blue.
VOTE! Vote like she’s behind in the polls!
This is a great quality polling outfit
This is a national poll. The Presidential election is state by state and unbelievably (to me at any rate) there are States that have them neck and neck and others that even have this orange poltroon ahead!
The Japan news.com knows what’s up lol
It’s definitely not a coincidence that the polls get wider as Trump goes further and further off the rails. This country is tired of his shit.
All of these figures are possible with a central tendency of Harris +3.5. The split in polling though by type is pretty stark.
Scientific online polls are near non-competitive margins like this one. Both nationally and in the implied results from state polls e.g. Wisconsin 52-48 Harris (Marquette isn’t a phone pollster anymore, deeming it unreliable).
Phone polls are generally closer to that + 2-3 D range where you wonder what the EC bias of Pennsylvania is vs. a national %.
And then there’s whatever NYT / Sienna is doing which is currently to the right of the partisan R pollsters with super-cheap methods. If NYT/Sienna wasn’t included at all, Trump would look pretty cooked. Their split and weight in averages has that big of an effect.
CNN has been bragging on tv that Trump is the most trusted in economy.
Selective breaking news.
I’m not invested in the national polls anymore. The only ones that matter at this point are the swing state polls. We know more people overall like her more than Trump, but it’s the stupid electoral college that are making this thing an uphill battle for her.
God the sooner this election is over with (and hopefully Kamala winning), the better. If Kamala wins, this will hopefully be the final straw to deal with Trump once and for all and hopefully those dealing with investigations against him realize that sitting around and taking too long is no longer viable against such a horrible person who will try this shit again in 2 years.
Should be 90-10%! I don’t understand why the polls are so close. (Not looking for an explanation, btw.)
and in 30 seconds, another story will be posted about how the election polls are “razor thin” and this election is going to be tight
Is it possible he’s using the wrong makeup?
Whiplash.
Every poll is a news story.
Don’t celebrate, VOTE! It’s not over until January 6th, 2025. Fuck Donald Trump, his clan, the Klan and his cult.
Remember 2016! **VOTE** **VOTE** **VOTE**
Until she is inaugurated, none of these polls mean anything. To add, I will never believe Trump won’t be president again until he passes of old age and is 6’ under.
Who the hell are the 13% “undecided” or 3rd party? This is about the soul of the nation and the fate of our republic.
Our voting system sucks. The duopoly sucks. You can’t sit it out this time.
As must be said ignore polls and get out to vote
And get others out to vote, drive friends and family, remind people who normally don’t vote to vote
Especially in swing states and Texas and Florida and North Carolina!!!!!!! Please!!!!!
Blame capitalizations, but I spent a minute wondering who “Widens” is.
It is still unfathomable to me that so many people support the guy who started a January 6th insurrection on the capital and is a convicted rapist and felon who has been sued multiple times for fraud, once for a children’s cancer charity, has said the most wild and racist things imaginable while promising to be a dictator and half the country is like ya….. That’s my guy, seems like a good leader. Like what the actual fuck am I trapped in a night nightmare right now?
Death to Trump and MAGA. At the polls
Vote no matter what the polls say!
I hope that Harris also gets votes from a lot of unlikely, unpolled voters. We need to stuff the MAGA deplorables back into their baskets. They don’t understand our government at all.
Remember that the only polls that matter are the ones that have ballot boxes at them. Register and check your registration at vote.gov Vote on Roevember 5th
More!!!
Still not enough
Trump belongs in an Assisted Living Facility.
Anyone remember 2016? Don’t listen to the polls. Vote.