Kamala Harris’ Surprisingly Strong Polling in State Dems Lost for 60 Years

https://www.newsweek.com/kamala-harris-surprisingly-strong-polling-state-dems-lost-60-years-1953881

31 Comments

  1. Alaska won’t flip the election, so it won’t get attention or anything, but the state pushed back pretty hard against MAGA in 2022 and has abortion on the ballot. If abortion can really have the swing it did in 22, it’s not impossible.

  2. Alaska? I know it probably won’t do anything, but if she wins that state…it would say something.

  3. This is kinda a watershed moment. We have a bunch of things all coalescing to make this an incredible landslide.

    Not only are the conservatives at an insane fever pitch that they haven’t really been at since the civil rights days when we had to spank them and teach them that women and black people are people too, so much so that we’re collectively done with their shit, but they’ve just nuked the apple cart by killing Roe V. Wade, engaging every woman and man with a conscience against them.

    They have just cheered the sacrifice of hundreds of thousands of Americans with Covid, and wouldn’t you know it, most of the deaths skewed towards the team flouting the safety protocols, so there goes a chunk of their reliable base into an early grave, just maybe enough to negate their delicate gerrymandering in many critical districts.

    Kids are engaged because their reproductive freedom is at stake and they get to “make history” by electing a woman the way kids helped to “make history” with Obama. 

    They have literally written their insane, obviously terrible plans down, and this ideology is inextricably tied to Trump and the GOP, so much so that every single Trump flyer I’ve received in the mail in my swing state has been begging me to believe the claims that he isn’t tied to it. 

    In NC they’re so scared they had to let RFK blow up mail in voting. Weed is on the ballot in Florida, along with abortion, so expect high turnout and everything going on to make this an actual toss up. In Texas they’re so scared they’re causing Latino voting rights activists to double and triple down their efforts by trying and failing to symie them. Ohio is being targeted by this pet eating nonsense and I expect fed up people to show up in response to this nonsense there as well.

    I believe that this is going to be such a resounding landslide that, at least on the presidential level, we’ll see states like NC, Florida, and Texas all seriously having a shot at going blue.

    Don’t get complacent, vote like your life depends on it, but feel good knowing that things are actually looking good for once.

  4. backtotheland76 on

    Same reason Wisconsin is going for Kamala: they are smart enough to see just how unpatriotic trump really is. They don’t want a traitor in the White house.

    The democrats used to do much better in rural states but the republicans have been targeting these states for decades, mostly to control the Senate. Picking up a couple electoral college votes in the process is just a bonus.

  5. I feel like ranked choice voting in Alaska could lead to plenty of surprises. Alaska does have a Democrat at large congressperson who is very popular.

  6. There has been interesting polling in deep red states: AK Trump +5, OK +16, and AR+15. He won in ‘20 AK +10, OK +33, & AR +38. If these polls are to be believed, it is unfathomable to see how Harris is only up 3 points nationally or battleground as tight as they are.

  7. Look into the political stories coming out of Alaska. Ranked choice voting removal initiative only four years after adopting it, minimum wage increase initiative, incarcerated NJ democrat being forced on the ballot because two repubs dropped out after the open primary, and Peltola running for re-election

  8. Alaska. The “Conservative” state with Universal Basic Income Income thanks to oil royalties. Even “socialist”California doesn’t have that.

  9. If Alaska flips (I don’t think it will) and at 3EC votes it’s not at all significant…it would be culturally significant at least. Like holy fuck

  10. Final-Criticism-8067 on

    So, Alaska’s suburbs are very red. However, as we seen with most suburbs, they are trending blue very fast. Alaska also has a huge amount of Natives who tend to vote reliably blue. Plus the cities are red. Alaska is like a reverse 48. Cities are red and rurals are blue.

  11. No-Objective-9921 on

    I’m so glad more people are realizing trump doesn’t want to run America, he wants to rule it

  12. I have no data to back it up, but I suspect one reason Alaskan voters have drifted to the left is climate change.  They are witnessing it far more acutely than other Americans, and it has serious economic consequences for the state.  

    For example, their snow crab fishing industry has imploded after something like 90% of the crabs starved to death because of warmer water temperatures, and it will take decades to recover, possibly never.  That is bankrupting Alaskan crab fishermen and costing the state hundreds of millions of dollars in lost revenue.  

    I don’t think they want to hear Republicans calling global warming a hoax anymore.

  13. I bet if she actually went up there to campaign she’d make up even more ground. Nobody goes to Alaska. Showing up would probably mean a lot to them.

  14. We like Kamala &Tim here in North Carolina.

    Maybe I’ll take her up on attending the Trump rally in Wilmington for laughs. But who knows, he cancelled the last one because rain was in the forecast.

  15. Is it surprising?

    Everyone said they didnt want trump-biden rematch. So here is the alternative and people seem excited

  16. Alaska has to love Tim Walz he is one of their type of good people who help their neighbours because they are your neighbours NOT because they are republicans or democrats