It's September 2024, and Cuba is on the brink of a humanitarian catastrophe. The collapse of the country's industries, infrastructure, and public services is accelerating exponentially (problems are multiplying rather than gradually increasing) due to 65 years of accumulated deterioration under communist rule plus the regime's lack of resources to fix the country's problems due to its disastrous response to the COVID-19 pandemic, the loss of aid from Venezuela, and the mass exodus of at least 11.4% of the country's population in 3 years (70% of them of working age). The island's energy, water, transportation, and health infrastructure could collapse simultaneously, as they are interconnected and a failure in one could lead to failures in the others.

Evidence of an impending collapse: According to reports on Cuban social media and Cuban independent media outlets such as cibercuba.com, there are more piles of garbage on the streets of cities throughout the country than ever, meaning that sanitation services are starting to fail. Oroupoche fever is spreading rapidly, suggesting that health and sanitation services are failing. Power plants frequently go out of service, water shortages are spreading in Havana (there have already been protests), and the town of Caibarién has gone 29 days without water.

Every single day: more people leave the country, more people die, the age dependency ratio worsens (fewer people of working age and more retirees), agriculture and industry degrade, water and electrical infrastructure degrade, buildings degrade, roads degrade, there are blackouts, there are water shortages, public transportation degrades, the health system degrades, the informal economy grows, diseases like oropouche and dengue spread even more, more garbage accumulates and state resources are depleted. The Cuban peso could lose all its value, and vendors will only accept hard currency.

The next few months will be much worse.

The evidence of Cuba's imminent collapse is overwhelming
byu/Intricate1779 ingeopolitics

9 Comments

  1. Consistent_Warthog80 on

    Maybe it’s time for the US TO END ITS ILLEGAL EMBARGO.

    THey did this as a way to get ris
    D of Castro, and he’s been dead for 10 years

    GET OVER YOURSELF, UNCLE SAM!

  2. The US government has embargoed them for decades for no real discernable reason beyond appeasing some of the embittered Cuban exiles in Florida.
    A lot of those exiles are descended from ex plantation owners and virtual fascists who ruled Cuba like a fiefdom. Yet these exiles have fantasies about going back to their haciendas and brutalizing the peasants who worked sugar cane.

    Cuba was once nearly a US state and even the Confederates had fantasies about forging slave empires based in the Caribbean. Before the revolution Cuba was a de facto colony of the US so the US government took it as a grave insult when a Communist regime was set up a stones throw from their shores.

    Communism has long disappeared as ideology and poses no risk and yet the embargo keeps going. The US has friendly trade relations with former enemies they were at war with like Vietnam or even relatively open trade relations with geopolitical rivals like China.
    It’s purely political inaction and vengefulness that keeps the embargo against Cuba.

    Any small nation being blockaded by the biggest economy in the world would suffer. The real miracle is how they survived so long and aren’t a total failed state like Haiti.

  3. I feel for them because if they collapse its just gonna be the miami cubans who take over and are the descendants of planations and landowners who will bring cuba back 50 years socially. If people think the racism in miami by the cubans are bad, wait until they take over the island which has no federal protections to hold them back….

    Its gonna be a dark day for black and brown cubans socially and they will lose all that revolution brought for them….

  4. Zealousideal-Cod5243 on

    I’ve been reading about Cuba’s imminent collapse for the last forty years.Â