Harris leads Trump in polls, but remains an underdog due to the Electoral College

https://www.msnbc.com/msnbc/amp/rcna169298

47 Comments

  1. > Her campaign is ahead or moving up in all the right places, but Trump still has a path.

    If the standard is that Trump has to have no path by election day, then we’re going to see a lot of “why this is bad for Harris” articles.

  2. But this article says she leads in the 3 needed blue wall states which would give a a electoral win. I get what MSNBC is trying to do but their article contradicts the title lol

  3. Polls don’t vote.

    Ahead, behind, underdog, upper dog, doesn’t matter. You have to walk in and cast the vote.

    Don’t pay attention to polls, good or bad.

  4. Time_Error_7874 on

    Republicans are trying to purge millions of voters in all the swing states. PLEASE remember to check your registration, along with your family and friends, especially right before Election Day:
    vote.gov

  5. OppositeDifference on

    Welp… hmm. Let me preface this by saying that if Hillary taught us anything useful, you DO NOT get complacent. Polls aren’t reality, and they can also change faster than the weather.

    But, all that being said, based on the current polling averages weighted by reliability of past results from the pollster, the most common outcome is about 306 electoral votes for Kamala if the election was held today.

    Trump only wins if he significantly overperforms the polls, which is of course possible, but Republicans in general have been showing a very reliable trend of underperforming polls lately.

    I’m going to vote even though Texas is probably not a swing state, and I’ll be making sure that I drag as many straight ticket blue votes along with me as I can.

    But what I’m saying here is that it’s okay to feel good for a few minutes. We’re on the right trajectory. We’re almost at the airport, and we just need to land this thing. Take a minute and appreciate how far we’ve come in a few months, and then do everything you can to make sure we go at least as far in the same direction in the few months we have left.

  6. Give-Yer-Balls-A-Tug on

    The electoral college is the most undemocratic system in US history.

    3 times the actual winner of the election has lost because of a worthless system.

  7. It’s bullshit that Democrats have to win in a blowout, but Republicans can eek by and still win. I hate the Electoral College with a passion.

  8. The electoral college must go!

    Ranked choice voting, National Popular Vote, I don’t care, but I’m sick of minority rule BS where the democrat wins the popular vote but the republican still gets the presidency due to our BS system.

    I’m also sick of 7-ish states getting all of the attention during every presidential election and the rest getting ignored. This is why we talk about fracking instead of other issues because it happens to impact a swing state.

  9. Remember friends, Reddit is a bubble. Make sure you alert your non-Reddit humans to check their status and encourage others to do the same.

  10. ThatguyMatty35 on

    Not saying we should get complacent or anything, but I think the media is grossly underestimating just how tired this country is of him, and their blatant favoritism towards him. That will probably play a role in the election.

  11. AudienceSome4656 on

    Yeah. That’s the common theme for any democrat running for President going forward. Has been the case since 2016, and in 2020, in 2024, and so forth. It’s gonna get as weird as 2016 again with this kind of trajectory.

    What makes it all worrisome is how hard it can be for the control of the Senate. Democrats have to fight for survival, while the GOP can kick back since they grab up every unpopulated great plains state each time. I don’t believe we’ll ever get a 60 seat filibuster-proof majority again in this era.

  12. If you’re a registered voter in the state of Georgia, but live out of the country – you’ll need to fill out a request for an absentee ballot and mail it in.
    This is called a Federal Post Card Application (FPCA).

    You can also scan your completed FPCA form, or take a photo of it, and email it directly to your local county’s uocava representative.
    For example, if you are registered in Dekalb county, the email address is: uocava@dekalbcountyga.gov

    Go to https://www.mvp.sos.ga.gov/MVP/mvp.do and make sure you’re registered. This page will also show you what your ‘official mailing address’ is for voting – since you don’t live in Georgia at the moment.

    They also have contact info on this page if you run into any problems, or have any questions.

    Next, go to https://sos.ga.gov/sites/default/files/2022-02/2019_fpca.pdf
    and fill out this form. It’s a ‘Voter Registration and Absentee Ballot Request
    (Federal Post Card Application (FPCA)’

    Next, put your completed and signed form in an envelope, and mail it directly to your county election office. You can find the address for your election office at FVAP.gov, or by calling the contact number on the https://www.mvp.sos.ga.gov/MVP/mvp.do website.

    I mailed mine in 3 weeks ago, and it went missing.
    I had it tracked…

    Fortunately I just found out that I could just email it to them directly, which is what I did.
    Given the state of the Georgia mailing system, I recommend you either track your card to make sure it arrives, or email it.

    Happy Voting!

  13. guyincognito69420 on

    can we combine idaho, montana, wyoming, and the dakotas into one state with like 4 EC votes because no one fucking lives there.

  14. If not for the EC republicans in their current incarnation would not win another general election. They would be forced to moderate their positions to be electable.

  15. Ok I don’t want to hear anymore fucking nonsense about how we’re going to take Texas and the south. This is not the time.

    Please just win the fucking rust belt. Please for the love of God just focus on the fucking rust belt.

  16. flux_of_grey_kittens on

    Here’s to hoping that she wins and we have a super majority in Congress and they finally fucking abolish the electoral college. If they have the power to and don’t we’ll eventually end up with project 2028 or 2032, 2036.

  17. Small state defenders of the electoral college don’t realize they would be courted by both sides if this was abolished. There is literally nothing to gain for campaigning in a state like Wyoming for a democratic candidate or Vermont for a republican candidate. And on the flip side none of the republican votes in California (the state containing the most Republican voters)ever count towards the presidential election.

  18. TheManInTheShack on

    The Electoral College had a few purposes. The first was to avoid bigger states controlling elections. We need to remember that back then a state’s economy was not very diverse. The second was to ensure that a popular but unfit candidate does not assume the Presidency. The first no longer applies and electors don’t even consider the second.

    This is why the [National Popular Vote Interstate Compact](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/National_Popular_Vote_Interstate_Compact?wprov=sfti1#) is so important. It can make the Electoral College moot.

    I was happy to hear that Harris’ running mate Tim Walz signed it for his state.

  19. Because the Electoral College is affirmative action for rich old white dudes and rural communities where no one lives.

  20. I am glad that the underdog narrative is still there. I don’t want people to get comfortable and stay home on Election Day, a la 2016. The numbers are there for a Harris landslide. Turn out is what matters.

  21. seventeenbadgers on

    I remember being in 8th grade during the George W. Bush v. Al Gore election, and the only outspoken Democrat in my very conservative rural school. I wrote a letter to Dick Durbin, my senator, about abolishing the electoral college and got a nice letter back saying he planned to introduce legislation “in the next session” to have federal elections decided by the popular vote.

    It’s been 24 years and I’m still waiting, Senator Durbin. Still. Waiting.

  22. Oceanbreeze871 on

    Hillary won by 3+ million votes and still lost the electoral college.

    Biden needed a 7 million vote victory to overcome the electoral college BS.

  23. highinthemountains on

    Remember that the only polls that matter are the ones that have ballot boxes at them. Register and check your registration at vote.gov Vote on Roevember 5th

  24. Fun fact! This is also how 5 of the 6 SCOTUS judges were appointed – by presidents that lost the popular vote but won the electoral college! So if you think we’re living under minority rule…we are! Tired of it? VOTE!!!

  25. I like the statment from Harris’ campaign chief. Keep fighting like you are playing carch up.

  26. I love that my vote doesn’t matter and some people 2500 miles away in Pennsylvania get to pick my president (again)

  27. TNGreruns4ever on

    Translation:

    Once again a plurality of Americans face the prospect of a dude who got less votes ending up in charge because reasons

  28. She was going to win the popular vote from the start. But no one has ever won an election with opinion polls. Vote. Please vote. And ignore polls.