SS: An interesting article on CNN, based on conversations with CIA chief William Burns, the gist of it:
1. Sinwar is under pressure from his military commanders to comply with Hamas’ demands for a ceasefire.
2. Sinwar is hiding in an underground route in the Khan Yunis area.
3. There is especially increased pressure on Sinwar from Hamas commanders in the last two weeks.
4. It is estimated that there is a “fragile chance” of a deal, but there are still quite a few negotiations to be done.
5. Communication problems with Sinwar delay the negotiations.
6. Sinwar no longer aspires to rule Gaza, so they agreed to another rule after the war.
7. Gaza Hamas leaders are pushing Sinwar to accept the current outline of the deal, following heavy losses in the military arm and a difficult military situation.
8. Hamas no longer insists that a deal will lead to a permanent ceasefire, due to Israeli pressure and the situation in the Gaza Strip.
9. Netanyahu insists that Israel will return to military action in the Gaza Strip after the deal.
DroneMaster2000 on
It is absolutely shameful that the last round of negotiations (During and after Ramadan) were done practically without military pressure. It is so incredibly obvious that Hamas will never agree to anything realistic if not backed into a corner. Hopefully it will work this time, looks promising.
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SS: An interesting article on CNN, based on conversations with CIA chief William Burns, the gist of it:
1. Sinwar is under pressure from his military commanders to comply with Hamas’ demands for a ceasefire.
2. Sinwar is hiding in an underground route in the Khan Yunis area.
3. There is especially increased pressure on Sinwar from Hamas commanders in the last two weeks.
4. It is estimated that there is a “fragile chance” of a deal, but there are still quite a few negotiations to be done.
5. Communication problems with Sinwar delay the negotiations.
6. Sinwar no longer aspires to rule Gaza, so they agreed to another rule after the war.
7. Gaza Hamas leaders are pushing Sinwar to accept the current outline of the deal, following heavy losses in the military arm and a difficult military situation.
8. Hamas no longer insists that a deal will lead to a permanent ceasefire, due to Israeli pressure and the situation in the Gaza Strip.
9. Netanyahu insists that Israel will return to military action in the Gaza Strip after the deal.
It is absolutely shameful that the last round of negotiations (During and after Ramadan) were done practically without military pressure. It is so incredibly obvious that Hamas will never agree to anything realistic if not backed into a corner. Hopefully it will work this time, looks promising.