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  1. Submission Statement: Edward Lucas discusses the upcoming fourth summit of the European Political Community taking place at Blenheim Palace in the UK, examining the event’s implications for European security cooperation post-Brexit. Edward notes the UK’s potential role in organizations like the Weimar Triangle and prospects for EU-UK cooperation on defense issues. However, Edward also expresses doubts about current UK military capabilities and Europe’s dependence on the US security guarantee given uncertainties surrounding the next US presidential election. The Blenheim summit offers an opportunity to boost Europe’s independent contribution to security but also highlights the ongoing challenge of strengthening European defense in an uncertain geopolitical context.