what? the contract expired? Israel is not selling weapons anymore?
lmsoa941 on
People got it all wrong.
1. Azerbaijan (unlike Armenia) **Already** recognizes Palestine as a state.
2. Insignificant protests against SOCAR will not warrant foreign policy change, it’s more likely that this was said as political recuperation for Turkish dissidents, so very likely nothing will change.
3. Turkey has no reason to force Azerbaijan to stop their relations with Israel. 40% of all oil to Israel comes From Azerbaijan and Turkey.
**very likely** Azerbaijan wants to reproduce Turkish foreign policy to some extent, keeping a facade of anti-Israeli statements, while maintaining its relations behind closed doors. Moreover, Iran disapproves of this Turkish “facade”, but to some extent accepts it with concessions from the Turkish side. While with Azerbaijan, there is no bridge to form on this matter. https://www.clingendael.org/publication/how-syria-ukraine-and-gaza-are-transforming-power-dynamics-caucasus
2 Comments
what? the contract expired? Israel is not selling weapons anymore?
People got it all wrong.
1. Azerbaijan (unlike Armenia) **Already** recognizes Palestine as a state.
2. Insignificant protests against SOCAR will not warrant foreign policy change, it’s more likely that this was said as political recuperation for Turkish dissidents, so very likely nothing will change.
3. Turkey has no reason to force Azerbaijan to stop their relations with Israel. 40% of all oil to Israel comes From Azerbaijan and Turkey.
**very likely** Azerbaijan wants to reproduce Turkish foreign policy to some extent, keeping a facade of anti-Israeli statements, while maintaining its relations behind closed doors. Moreover, Iran disapproves of this Turkish “facade”, but to some extent accepts it with concessions from the Turkish side. While with Azerbaijan, there is no bridge to form on this matter. https://www.clingendael.org/publication/how-syria-ukraine-and-gaza-are-transforming-power-dynamics-caucasus
While also “realigning” its values with Turkey, to continue the oil business SOCAR (https://eurasianet.org/perspectives-azerbaijan-walks-fine-line-as-turkey-israel-relations-deteriorate)
Otherwise, nothing has changed. Azerbaijan recognized Palestine in 1992
https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2024/5/22/mapping-which-countries-recognise-palestine-in-2024
It is not really likely that Azerbaijan will suddenly remove itself from Israel. They also still have contracts left, like **the satellites they bought** https://www.c4isrnet.com/battlefield-tech/space/2023/10/04/israel-aerospace-industries-sells-spy-satellites-to-azerbaijan/